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A Case Study of the Petra Nova Carbon Capture Project

A billion-dollar project to bring post-combustion carbon capture technology at an unprecedented scale and demonstrate the commercialbility of this important carbon-reduction technology

Paulson Institute

Executive Summary

According to the latest report submitted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to the member countries, global emissions of greenhouse gases must fall 40- 70% by midcentury, compared to 2010 levels. The report pointed out that low-carbon energy resources, including the solar, wind and other resources with low CO2 emissions, account to less than 20% of the current energy mix. This 20% has to be raised 3-4 times in order to achieve the 40-70% reduction.

Unfortunately, bringing new energy technologies to market is plagued by multiple financial “valleys of death,” or critical stages in the progress from lab to market during which risk-tolerant investment is very difficult to obtain. Even after advanced energy technologies emerge from the lab and successfully demonstrate proof-of-concept, they often face funding challenges on the road to commercialization. At this stage, the risk that a novel technology or process will not perform well at full scale deters commercial banks and other typical investors. This challenge is particularly acute for largescale “mega-projects,” complex low-carbon infrastructure investments requiring a billion dollars or more in initial investment.

To successfully cross the “Commercialization Valley of Death,” advanced energy megaprojects need a number of key ingredients: a risk-taking lead developer with enough patience and determination to see a complex, long-term project across the finish line; project partners with expertise in the full value chain and skill at managing engineering, construction, and procurement processes and mitigating related risks; and a special set of investors willing to bet on an as-yet-unproven technology that could open up new markets and big economic returns in the future. In almost all cases, governments also play a key role in offsetting initial expenditures with grants or tax credits, providing risk-tolerant loans, or otherwise reducing the risks for pioneering project developers.

This report provides a detailed description of the Petra Nova Carbon Capture Project in Fort Bend Count, Texas. The billion-dollar project will bring post-combustion carbon capture technology at an unprecedented scale and demonstrate the commercial viability of this important carbon-reduction technology.

Read the full report


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